The April, 2026 National Instant background Check System (NICS) numbers are in. The National Shooting Sports Foundation (NSSF) adjusted background check numbers show firearm sales are slightly higher than April of 2025. Firearm sales are holding steady. Contrary to firearm sales as measured by the adjusted numbers, the numbers of background checks themselves is almost 12% lower than the number in April, 2025. From NSSF:
The April 2026 NSSF-adjusted National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS) figure of 1,193,428 is an increase of 1.6 percent compared to the April 2025 NSSF-adjusted NICS figure of 1,174,294. For comparison, the unadjusted April 2026 FBI NICS figure of 1,933,972 reflects an 11.9 percent decrease from the unadjusted FBI NICS figure of 2,194,006 in April 2025.
April has been a busy month. The conflict with Iran continued through the end of the month. National Firearms Act (NFA) applications NICs checks are up 130% over April of 2025. The massive increase in applications for NFA firearms is a measure of how much the insane, $200 excise taxes were infringing on the rights of Americans to own silencers, short barreled rifles, short barreled shotguns and any other weapons under the NFA. The removal of the tax infringements has unleashed a significant demand for these types of arms. From the NSSF:
• The April 2026 NFA figure of 190,086 is an increase of 130.3 percent compared to the April 2025 figure of 82,519.
To be sure, these are NFA application background checks. Not all NFA application background checks result in an authorization to purchase an NFA regulated arm. Some are duplicates; some are rejected, some are told a mistake was made and they need to re-apply. It is not clear the precise number which are approved. The 103k increase in NFA checks continues a massive increase in NFA applications in 2026. You can see in the NSSF graphic below, April 2026 is fairly close to a "new normal" for firearm sales, as measured by the adjusted background checks. Average the "Trump slump" years with the "Biden Jump" years, and you see a fairly steady amount in April.
Analysis:
The intense conflict in and around Iran, a response to an effective 47 year war with the United States, has dampened down as of this writing in early May. This correspondent predicted stability would return to world markets after April, firearm sales would continue to be up slightly in April, then decrease in May and June. The prediction still looks good for an uncertain future. The Trump administration's more aggressive stance on supporting the Second Amendment with the Civil Right Division of the Department of Justice is not likely to increase sales. A role back of illicit laws and infringement bodes well. Such a roll back assures prospective purchasers the Constitutional Republic is being restored, in spite of the deranged rhetoric on the Left. Firearm sales thrive on domestic and foreign instability. In the long term, a new "golden age" could increase firearm sales with increased wealth and recreational opportunities.
©2026 by Dean Weingarten: Permission to share is granted when this notice and link are included.
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